I'll agree with the 2 guys thesis. In basketball, you need a couple of real difference makers, then good players around them that fill needed roles. Weber recruited a lot of top 100 guys who were busts, but more importantly didn't recruit (a) enough elite difference makers; and (b) the right role players. Add a legit role-playing point guard to Weber's last team and they probably make the tournament!
So far, Weber has been able to land a few real difference makers, but has also build teams with guys like Feliz, a not-so-heralded recruit who played an essential role.